Miracles aren’t so miraculous in the light of mathematics
We humans have some innate amazing capabilities. However, intuitively grasping mathematical principles, including statistics and probability theory, isn't one of them. Or at least, this is very rare. That's why almost everybody mistakenly overestimates the rarity of unusual events. I wrote about this in a 2014 post, "Miracles" happen all the time. Mathematics demands them. In that post I included this question from a book I was reading: How many people must be in a room to make it more likely than not that two of them share the same birthday? The answer is 23. I would have thought the…
