Be adaptable like a fox, not stalwart like a hedgehog
In his fascinating book, "The Signal and the Noise," Nate Silver talks about two thinking styles: that of the fox and hedgehog. I've blogged about this before in "Sure you're right? You're probably wrong." In other words, those who were most certain they were right were more likely to be wrong. It's better to be a fox, someone who knows many things, than a hedgehog, who knows one big thing. The article's author, Sharon Begley, lists the characteristics of foxes (better predictors) and hedgehogs (worse predictors). Foxes... cognitively flexible, modest, open to self-criticism, consider competing views, doubt power of Big…
